October 19 – 21 Box Office Predictions

Alex Cross

Alex Cross

Plot: A detective is told that a member of his family has been killed, and he vows to track down that killer.

Alex Cross is an action/mystery/thriller film, directed by Rob Cohen (director of xXx, The Fast and the Furious). It sounds a bit like a good-old-fashioned revenge story, doesn’t it? I’m not sure if I’ll be itching to see it this weekend, but maybe eventually. The Alex Cross universe has been created by the author James Patterson. The character of Cross has previously appeared in the films Kiss the Girls (1997) and Along Came a Spider (2001). Kiss the Girls opened to $13 million, and its final gross was around $60.5 million. Along Came a Spider opened to the sound of $16 million, and grossed a little over $74 million. Either film didn’t perform too well for critics, but the audience apparently liked it. Alex Cross is opening to 2400 theatres. In K.T.G. and A.C.A.S., Morgan Freeman portrayed Alex Cross. Now, we are given Tyler Perry to portray Cross. What the heck? He might not sound as heavenly as Freeman, but maybe he’ll do well. This is the first time he’s really trying to get out of his genre of comedy and family drama, so it might be good for him. Then again, people might not be used to him not cracking too many jokes or wearing a wig and a female fat suit half the movie. Matthew Fox may also be pretty interesting in his role as a psychopathic killer. There isn’t really a good detective mystery/thriller out there right now, so this may rake in an audience (that is, if the audience isn’t watching Paranormal Activity 4). I’m predicting $14.5 million.

Paranormal Activity 4Paranormal Activity 4

Plot: It has been five years since the disappearance of Katie Hunter, and a suburban family witness strange events in their neighborhood when a woman and a mysterious child move in.

I’m really getting sick and tired of these films. They look really pointless. I haven’t seen any of them, but I don’t like the idea of it. These darn Hollywood guys just want money. Who can blame them though… This looks like a point in the series where it turns out to be strictly for the fans, because the plot sounds very uninteresting to me, an anti-lover of this series. I mean, you won’t see me at this movie even on a cheap Tuesday. Okay, enough of my P.A. hatred rant, let’s talk the numbers! P.A.4 is being released to over 3000 theaters. Paranormal Activity grossed over $190 million worldwide, but only made $77,873 to twelve theatres in its opening weekend. And then, there was the second one: $40 million in its opening weekend and a worldwide gross of $177 million (but apparently it was nowhere as good as the first). The third: opened to $52 million, and a domestic gross of $104 million. Considering the substantial rises in grosses and opening weekends, and the amount of times this film has trended on Twitter, it should make a pretty nice amount of money this weekend (despite its moderately poor critic reception). My prediction for this is $54 million.

The Sessions

Plot: A man in an iron lung who wishes to lose his virginity contacts a professional sex surrogate with the help of his therapist and priest.

The festival reception for The Sessions has been really great. The film is getting a very small release to four theatres. The film is written and directed by Ben Lewin, who is best known for writing and directing Georgia, and The Favour, the Watch and the Very Big Fish. What do the numbers for that though? I’m not going to estimate the opening weekend results to be very high. My prediction is $45, 000.

BOX OFFICE TOP 10 PREDICTIONS

Title/Prediction/Studio/Rotten Tomatoes Score
1. Paranormal Activity 4 – $54 million/Paramount/43%
2. Argo – $18 million/Warner Brothers/94%
3. Taken 2 – $16.5 million/Fox/21%
4. Sinister – $15.8 million/Summit Entertainment/63%
5. Alex Cross – $14.5 million/Summit Entertainment
6. Hotel Transylvania – $12 million/Sony/43%
7. Here Comes the Boom – $10 million/Sony/43%
8. Pitch Perfect – $8 million/Universal/77%
9. Frankenweenie – $6 million/Buena Vista/87%
10. Looper – $5 million/TriStar/93%

Also, I believe Seven Psychopaths is going to make $3.8 million.

Do you readers have any thoughts on my predictions, or any predictions of your own?

Are you guys going to have a chance to go to the theatre this weekend; and if so, which film would you most want to see? Myself, I’m trying to see Sinister and End of Watch or something. Maybe Trouble with the Curve. I’d also like to see Dredd before it comes to home media.

And what’s your favourite film in theaters right now? Myself, I’d have to say The Perks of Being a Wallflower.

Side note: This question may be embarrassing; but I’ve never really known and I’d so appreciate an answer. When it’s a domestic number, is it the United States AND Canada, or just the U.S.A.?

6 thoughts on “October 19 – 21 Box Office Predictions

  1. Hi Daniel!

    I’ll share my new release predictions with you since I’ve got those done and need to work on the rest of my top 10.

    Paranormal Activity 4 – sadly $45M

    Alex Cross – sadly, but because I want the movie to do so much better – $19M

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