Box Office Predictions, May 23-26 – X-Men: Days of Future Past to mute Adam Sandler’s Blended

This weekend, X-Men: Days of Future Past eyes an opening north of $100 million over the Memorial Day frame. Films similar to this open at $84.2 million. A reason I don’t see this being huge, like a $125 million opening, is because X-Men films have generally been on the decline in numbers lately. The opening for X-Men films went the highest with X-Men: The Last Stand at $102 million, then declined to $85 million for X-Men Origins: Wolverine and then took a steep decline to $55 million for X-Men: First Class at $55.1 million, a similar opening to 2000’s X-Men. And then The Wolverine opened at $53 million, and part of these disappointments might be because of Origins‘ generally poor reception. Though, because this film looks so great – blending characters from the present, past and future – this will attract a huge audience this weekend and be the film that brings the franchise out of its minor slump. My prediction for this film is $110 million.

The other major release coming out this weekend is Adam Sandler’s latest film Blended, where he teams up with Drew Barrymore again for the first time since 2004’s 50 First Dates. I see this doing okay this weekend, because family audiences really do like the “safe” comedy option. Films similar to this open at $28.5 million. I think this will do $37 million in the long weekend frame. This is because Just Go With It made $30 million in a three-day frame, and that’s a good enough basis for this because they’re basically the same film.

I think Godzilla will end up in second place this weekend (let’s say a $45 million weekend gross), and I think Neighbors will be in fourth place with $15 million, and The Amazing Spider-Man 2 with $7.5 million, because with the newest super-hero film being released, this is going to get even more over-shadowed. By the way, those three predictions are for the three-day frame. What are you guys seeing this weekend?

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